Posted by: reformedmusings | September 19, 2015

Violent crime on the rise in Obamerica – Anybody surprised?

Obamerica is where socialist democrats have been ruling for decades, where government handouts are the dominant “income” source, and where gun controllers rule virtually unimpeded. Obamerica almost entirely consists of large cities, but some states make the grade. These all should theoretically be socialist utopias of peace and love according to the doctrines of the political left. The reality is dramatically different, which should be no surprise to people who can think.

In the current environment where Black Lies Matter and Obama defends individual thugs but ignores the growing death rates of blacks at the hands of violent black thugs, truth and facts seem irrelevant. The problem is that facts are stubborn things the eventually come back with a vengeance.

As violent crime continues to drop generally across the country as gun ownership and concealed carry continue to increase, homicides in Obamerica are skyrocketing. Even in relatively gun-friendly states, the big cities of Obamerica find ways to discourage and restrict 2nd Amendment civil rights. The results speak for themselves.

Now, gun control isn’t the only reason for the homicide rates in Obamerica, not even the dominant one. We have the liberal/progressive family-destructive policies and the administration’s disrespect for the law to thank for that. But as Detroit found out, empowering self-defense helps decrease violent crime. Criminals may be evil, but most aren’t terminally stupid – they don’t want to get shot. While they reign free from consequences in gun-control havens like Baltimore, DC, and Chicago, not so in freedom-protecting places.

Further, a recent study revealed that as firearm ownership increased, firearm-related accidents decreased. That debunks yet another gun control lie.

Speaking of gun control lies, background checks did nothing to prevent the latest multiple killings. Evil people still pass background checks if they have no felony records, and no check is fool-proof under any circumstances. Universal background checks wouldn’t affect the violent crime rate, since criminals don’t buy their guns from stores, gun shows, or anywhere else. Criminals get guns from personal connections or they steal them. Duh, they’re criminals. They break laws by definition. Laws are irrelevant to criminals, and only hamper the law-abiding. As Thomas Jefferson once said:

Laws that forbid the carrying of arms . . . disarm only those who are neither inclined nor determined to commit crimes . . . Such laws make things worse for the assaulted and better for the assailants; they serve rather to encourage than to prevent homicides, for an unarmed man may be attacked with greater confidence than an armed man.”
–Thomas Jefferson, quoting Cesare Beccaria in On Crimes and Punishment (1764).

Our Founding Fathers got it. Socialists like Obama remain clueless.

But we can take this a step further. Violent predation isn’t related to the tool, but rather to the wielder of that tool. That seems obvious to anyone with half a brain, but the left apparently can’t muster even that.

Dr. Andrew Papachristos studied shootings in Chicago and Boston using social network analysis. His presentation to the Illinois Academy of Criminology lays out the basics of his important work. This 32-minute presentation is a must-see for anyone interested in avoiding being shot:

Here are some bottom line statistics from the presentation: In Boston, 85% of those who were shot were in a network of just 6% of the population. In Chicago, 41% of homicides happened in a network of just 4% of the population. Overall,  Papachristos’ point is that we can reasonably predict, using social network analysis, who is at the highest risk of being shot or shooting someone.

In 2nd Amendment circles, we’ve known this forever and enshrined it in the wisdom, “Do stupid stuff with stupid people and you win stupid prizes.” That’s essentially what Papachristos found. The overwhelming number of those shot were associated within a few levels of folks they had been arrested with or their friends/associates had been arrested with. As Papachristos titled his paper, the violence is “Tragic but not Random.”

Put another way, criminal shootings follow a blood-borne pathogen model. Like these pathogens, violence spreads through personal contact between fellow perps. Neighborhoods aren’t inherently dangerous due to some general social issue, but rather because violent predators either inhabit or frequent those locations. Take out the violent predators, peace ensues. If they didn’t have guns, the predators would use whatever was available, including hammers, clubs, bricks, etc.

This used to be the philosophy behind prisons and the death penalty – removing violent predators from the streets. Liberal have changed that philosophy to our collective detriment.

Going back to basics, then, the only way to stop a violent predator with a gun is with a good guy with a gun. In many cases, the only way to stop a large, strong, violent, “unarmed” predator is with a good guy with a gun. That continues to work well outside of Obamerica. Inside, well, they voted for him and the liberal/progressive crooks that have run their cities/states for decades. How’s that workin’ out for ya?



  1. […] I’ve written about Dr. Andrew Papachristos work in applying network analysis to shootings in Chicago and Boston. He found that the victims were predictable – tragic but not random. Korwin looked at the data from Baltimore and Chicago, not for individuals but rather neighborhoods. But the two works agree because individuals tend to hang out in particular neighborhoods. I went to the Baltimore Sun’s interactive website and updated the analysis to 2015. There was no change from Korwin’s look at 2007’s data. You can play with the data yourself. Shootings by violent predators outside of Obamerica remain rare, while they remain all too common in Obamerica. […]

  2. […] that indicated that the extreme violence and death that plague Democrat strongholds boils down to a small network of violent predators. The Guardian on the other side of the pond published an article that’s misleading in parts, […]

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